BEAT THE COUCH · THE DAILY ARCHIVE · DEALT OCT 30, 2026

Day 111 · The QE Rebound

THE SECRET WINDOW: APR 30, 2010 TO APR 27, 2012 · 504 TRADING DAYS

On October 30, 2026 everyone who opened the game got the same secret two years: April 30, 2010 to April 27, 2012, the QE rebound. The couch bought on day one, never sold, and turned $10,000 into $12,103 (+21.0%). 21% of the players who tried beat it.

THE COUCH'S $10,000, DAY BY DAY, REAL DAILY DATA

$10,000 START $12,103 Apr 30, 2010 Apr 27, 2012

What the couch did

ENDED WITH$12,103 (+21.0%)
WORST DRAWDOWN-19% by Oct 3, 2011
WORST SINGLE DAY-6.7% Aug 8, 2011
BEST SINGLE DAY+4.7% Aug 9, 2011
CASH INSTEAD (T-BILLS)+0.2%

The era

The QE rebound. From the March 2009 low the market rallied hard on zero rates and Fed bond buying. Most people missed it, waiting for a second leg down that never came.

THE EXHIBIT: THE QE REBOUND. EVERYONE WHO PLAYED WAS THERE.

What the players did

BEAT THE COUCH21.4%
  WITH CERTIFIED SKILL14.3%
  BY LUCK7.1%
COUCH WINS71.4%
DEAD HEAT0.0%
ENLIGHTENED (TOUCHED NOTHING)7.1%
MEDIAN RESULT vs THE COUCH-8.9%
MEDIAN TRADES6
MEDIAN TIME IN MARKET72%

The read

The couch won this one the usual way: 21% of players beat it and the median player finished 8.9% behind the couch. Nothing dramatic happened to the losers. That is exactly the problem.

Player figures count every official and replayed attempt at this exact hand filed on the day it was dealt, from the run export of October 31, 2026. A win counts as SKILL only if it beats 90% of 1,000 monkeys replaying the same window with the same trade count and the same time in the market. Across the whole ledger the couch wins 62% of 120,800 games.

The archive has the long version of this stretch: Could You Have Timed the 2011 Downgrade?

Play the past handthe same two years everyone got on Oct 30, 2026. Free, no signup. No streak, no standings: filed as a REPLAY.

Or play today's hand. It stays secret until tomorrow.

Frequently asked

What was the Beat the Couch daily hand on October 30, 2026?

Day 111 dealt the two years from April 30, 2010 to April 27, 2012, the QE rebound. A couch that bought on day one and never sold turned $10,000 into $12,103 (+21.0%).

How often did players beat the couch on day 111?

21.4% of the players who filed the hand beat the couch. 14.3% passed the 1,000-monkey skill audit; the rest of the winners were stamped LUCKY.

Can I still play the day 111 hand?

Yes. The past hand button deals the exact same window. It is filed as a replay: it does not touch your streak, the daily standings or the public ledger.

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